Thursday, December 27, 2012

Super Storm Sandy and Climate Change/Global warming.

If you've got around fifteen minutes you can listen to me mumble and blather about how it does not matter whether or not climate change is real, or caused by human activities, since it is our destinies and our nature to revise our environments in our favor.

Below is information about the great Long Island Hurricane of 1938, pre climate chabge.  Hd that hit Manhatan at high tide and full moorn like Sandy did, they'd still be making movies and singing songs about "there once was this town called New York." Knowing this, we should understand that coastal areas not only NY NY are extremely vulnerable with or without climate change caused by human beings. We do need conscious deliberate climate change and geo engineering and artificial geographic engineering as well as social engneering to face such a possibility, which was and still is real.

1938 Hurricane
Rising Sea Levels by Janin & Mandia
Rising Sea Levels

by Janin & Mandia
Facts of the 1938 Hurricane     (Francis, 1998)

  • Peak Steady Winds - 121 mph
  • Peak Gust - 186 mph at Blue Hill Observatory, MA.
  • Lowest Pressure - 27.94 in (946.2 mb) at Bellport, NY
  • Peak Storm Surge - 17 ft. above normal high tide (RI)
  • Peak Wave Heights - 50 ft. at Gloucester, MA
  • Deaths - 700 (600 in New England)
  • Homeless - 63,000
  • Homes, Buildings Destroyed - 8,900
  • Boats Lost - 3,300
  • Trees Destroyed - 2 Billion (approx.)
  • Cost - $620 million (1938)
  • September 21, 1938.
    That morning a New York Times editorial entitled "Hurricane" concluded, "Every year an average of three such whirlwinds sweep the tropical North Atlantic between June and November. In 1933, there was an all-time record of twenty. If New York and the rest of the world have been so well informed about the cyclone, it is because of an admirable organized meteorological service" (Allen, 1976).Except for Charlie Pierce, a junior forecaster in the U.S. Weather Bureau who predicted the storm but was overruled by the chief forecaster, the Weather Bureau experts and the general public never saw it coming. Later that day, the greatest weather disaster ever to hit Long Island and New England struck in the form of a category 3 hurricane. Long Island, New York and New England were changed forever by the Long Island Express.
    The immediate effect of this powerful hurricane was to decimate many Long Island communities in terms of human and economic losses, however, the long term effects linger today. The '38 Hurricane created the Shinnecock Inlet and widened Moriches Inlet which, to this day, are changing the landscape of the south shore due to their influence on the natural littoral sand transport. History has shown that these powerful storms are rare but do in fact occur with long-term frequency. Case studies have shown that the next time a storm like the Long Island Express roars through, it might be the greatest disaster in U.S. history.

    1. Introduction to Hurricanes
      • Development Stages
      • Saffir-Simpson Scale
      • Structure
      • Damage
      • Storm Surge Maps for NY City Metro, Long Island, and Other East Coast Locations
      Before & After Hurricane
    2. Weather History of the 1938 Hurricane
      • Observed Weather
      • Track
      • Westhampton Beach Perspective
    3. Damage Caused By Storm
      • House/Building Damage
      • Economic Effects
      • Tree Damage
    4. Human Interest Stories
      • Arthur D. Raynor Remembers
      • Rev. Frederick B. Noss Tells His Story
      • Beavers Save the Day
      • Benjamin Beekman
      • Nancy Simon's Log Cabin
    5. Geological Impact
      • Shinnecock Inlet Creation
      • Affect On Shaping Coastal Long Island
    6. Hurricane/Storm Climatology of Long Island
      • Historical Frequency
      • Historic Events
      • National Frequency & Future Deaths
      • Global Warming & Hurricanes
    7. What Does The Future Hold For Long Island?
      • NY City/Long Island Storm Landfall Probabilities for Year 2010
      • Top 15 Storms Today
      • Doomsday Predictions
      • Media Interviews with Prof. Mandia
    8. Hurricane Memorabilia
      • Photo collection donated by Nick Panico III (updated on 09/03/09)
    9. References Cited
    Other sites of interest by Prof. Mandia include:

    Scott A. Mandia, Professor - Physical Sciences
    T-202 Smithtown Sciences Bldg.
    Last updated: 11/05/12

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